October 1, 2025
Markets:
Stock futures fell Wednesday after the U.S. government shut down at midnight, fueling fears of a prolonged stoppage that could strain an already fragile economy.
The shutdown followed the Senate’s failure to pass a temporary spending bill Tuesday. Republicans blocked the measure, while Democrats pushed to include an extension of health care tax credits for millions of Americans.
Historically, markets have weathered shutdowns with limited impact. This time, however, investors are already uneasy about a weakening labor market, persistent inflation risks, lofty valuations, and heavy market concentration. The Congressional Budget Office estimated Tuesday that about 750,000 federal employees will be furloughed. Meanwhile, Trump’s threat of permanent mass firings of federal workers has added another layer of economic uncertainty.
Gold surged to a record high as investors sought safety. Bitcoin also climbed, while Treasuries and the dollar held relatively steady.
Portfolio:
Let’s be clear—this government shutdown is political nonsense. What it is, though, is an opportunity to add to our favorite names.
We head into Q4 holding positions in CONL, CIFR, EOSE, and ONDS. Today offers another chance to build, and we couldn’t be more excited for the months ahead. Beneath the headlines, countless sectors and stocks remain tightly coiled. Money continues to flow, and we’re still seeing massive bullish positioning into 2026 and 2027 across both indexes and select names.
Yes, conditions can always shift, but this so-called “hated rally” keeps grinding higher. Once performance-chasing kicks in toward year-end, momentum could accelerate. Don’t be surprised if the S&P 500 hits 7,000 sooner than most expect.
We’re not perma-bulls—we’re opportunists who follow trends and capital. And right now, the runway looks wide open.
Be ready. Let’s crush October and close 2025 with a monster quarter.
