August 11, 2025

Markets:

U.S. stock futures inched higher early Monday, with the market once again on the cusp of all-time highs ahead of a week of key inflation reports.

Those moves come after the Nasdaq Composite ended last week at fresh closing highs, and the S&P 500 closed on the threshold of another milestone. The Dow also finished the week on a high note. A rally in Apple — which has been a significant laggard this year — helped bolster the market.

The latest advance has some investors wondering how much longer the stock market can skirt pitfalls, given sky-high valuations, a dimming macroeconomic outlook, and tariff fallout all during a period of seasonal weakness.

Inflation readings this week will prove a key hurdle for a broad market index near record highs. The consumer price index, which is set to be released Tuesday, and the producer price index, due out Thursday, will be critical in shaping the outlook for the direction of interest rates, especially for the Federal Reserve’s September meeting. Hotter inflation prints could hinder the market’s advance.

The inflation data comes ahead of the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting in Wyoming on Aug. 21-23, which will likely set the tone for the September meeting.

Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices have agreed to give the U.S. government a share of revenues from certain chips sold in China, the Financial Times reported, in an unprecedented arrangement with the White House.

Portfolio:

We enter the new week holding setups in TSLL, RCAT, and GLW.  Big week ahead and a few earnings reports that will continues to fuel the AI theme:  OKLO, CRWV, AMAT, and BBAI.  

Last week brought a wave of bullish flow into the likes of TSLA, AAPL, GOOGL, and AMZN—a rare show of strength, especially in August, historically one of the market’s softest months.  We will closely be watching these flows and breakout for legs this week and we truly believe a few names are just getting started that will carry the torch.  Other names are on the verge, these are the names you want to be in on as they move.  Be ready this week, anticipate new trades.  Lets continue this strong month!