April 18, 2022

Markets:

Stock futures declined Monday morning as the 10-year Treasury yield hit a new three-year high and a week of major first-quarter earnings reports kicked off.

The 10-year Treasury yield reached on Monday it highest level since late 2018, trading above 2.87% at one point. The yield was at 1.71% to begin March, but has shot higher as the Federal Reserve pivoted to a more aggressive tightening stance. That change has weighed on stocks and triggered concerns about an impending recession.

Several Dow blue-chip names report earnings this week, including IBM, Procter and Gamble, Travelers, Dow Inc, Johnson and Johnson, American Express and Verizon.

Technology bellwethers are also set to report quarterly earnings, with Netflix due on Tuesday and Tesla out on Wednesday. Snap reports Thursday. United Airlines, American Airlines and Alaska Air are also on the calendar, as are railroads CSX and Union Pacific.

Investors will be paying close attention to forward guidance, especially for comments on how companies are handling surging costs. March’s consumer price index reading released last week showed an 8.5% increase from a year ago, the fastest annual gain since December 1981.

Portfolio:

We enter the new trading week holding positions in GATO, RF, TWTR, and ITRM. Monster earnings set to be released this week and we look forward to their reports and guidance. Our trend lines are close to major support lines that we are watching. We anxiously watching to see how they respond and if we have a further breakdown or if we have a bouncing point with a low set in place. Should be a telling week or two ahead for this market but as we've been stating; monster opportunity to come of it. Patience here and let's be ready to act this week. Let's have a great session.